Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 8, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bad Larry 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ice Road 1.60 2.2 4-1
4 4 Debate 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Commandperformance 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Wild Banker 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Retail Man 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Co Conspirator 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Roshiell My Belle 1.20 1 2-1
6 7 Brooklyn Rhapsody 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Yayi Nikolle 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 6 No Factor 6.00 6.3 12-1
7 8 Wildcat Annie 8.00 7 13-1
1 3 Lookin to Rock 8.00 7.5 14-1
3 2 Power Driver 12.00 7.8 15-1
1A 5 Selectively Sweet 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Solo Flight 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Magic Beach 4.50 1.3 2-1
1 2 Drive Thru 1.80 1.6 3-1
3 3 Rock Star Rebel 2.50 2.4 4-1
8 9 Twirling Vine 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Braca 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 7 A Knight’s Courage 20.00 5 9-1
2 1 Gunman Jayvo 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 8 Dreamalongwithme 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maddie May S.) – Maddie May S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bernieandtherose 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Army Gal 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Lottie Margaret 1.80 1.7 3-1
2 2 Boston’s Phinest 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Storm Changer 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Lady Wisdom 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Howling Wind 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Liberty Central 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Hey Toby 4.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Willintoriskitall 3.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Shared Success 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Leo’s Reward 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Senegal 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Provision 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Play the Gray 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Just Cheesy 10.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Fines Creek 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Daytona Moonshine 20.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Capt Jax Parrow 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Stimuli 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Marvelous Richard 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 State Park 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Damage 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Giuliana’s Dream 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Lightning Strike 1.80 1.5 3-1
5 5 Lupine 6.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Will of a Womanne 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Lady of Mercia 30.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Calisa 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Full Pour 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Fedupwiththefed 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Floy Joy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Winit 0 0-1
5 5 Classic Legacy 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Expected Value 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Winit 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Cascais 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 General Banker 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Magical Ways 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Doc Sullivan 4.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Rungius 15.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Duke of Gloucester 30.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Two Eagles River 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Gander S.) – Gander S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mo Plex 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 National Identity 1.40 1.9 4-1
4 4 Soontobeking 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Skytown 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Swift Magic 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Corvus 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Givememythememusic 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Resilient Hero 30.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Grand Cash 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sunday Gilt 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Eleni 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sky Travel 10.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Awesome Roberta 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Instant Vision 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Royal Event 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Sweet Lilac 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Joevia’s Diva 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Gracie Girl 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Shock 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Moontown 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Spun Size 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.