Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sharper Gal | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Shipman | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Maximus | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Inthearmynow | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Day for the Gray | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shelley’s Money | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Carambaso | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shoot the Nickel | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Allied Commander | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Wallbanger | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thrilla | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Towner Too | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Favorite Son | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Otter Creek | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platinum Minit | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| In B. J.’s Honor | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Jet Rocket | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Undercover Girl | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apriority Catch | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Minit | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Alexis | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In B. J.’s Honor | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jus Press Star | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grabiq | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Out too Late (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | From Scratch | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Nina Dorada | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twirling Good Time | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Foret | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aztec Empress | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beads | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Problematica | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Twirl Around | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Unhidden Gem (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Towering Storm | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Take It | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scat Free | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glen Airy | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uxmal | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | National Eclipse | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bricklayer | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Call Me Andy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Banned for Life | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ludwig | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Recker Point | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Petcoff | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gunner Bay | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swift as I Am | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gilded Ruler | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Felix | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Demolition Duke | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Boltage | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chases Magic | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flame Rock Fire | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Darioush | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soco and Lime | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | This Is Your Time | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Into Thin Air | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beechmont | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fire in My Sul | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.) – Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Play With Fire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Orient | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aterradora (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Merry and Bright | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fionn | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love and Poetry | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exclusive Star | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Liam’s Mist | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly Credo | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Well Accustomed | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fast Flame | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Boujee | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Chick | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Sorella | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tdz Dancinlilslew | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Precious Money | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Graceful Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | La Palabra | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bet Towinit | 40.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | C C Short Drive | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.