Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Splashy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Class Cat | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Be Famous | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Confidence | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Follow Your Arrow | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Graceful Rose | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steel Vengeance | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Gimme Gimme | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Revivalism | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday Gilt | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Bogan | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rockible | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steel Vengeance | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bernie Goes Boom | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sandi’s Satire | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barstool Babe | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nikki Brainburst | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Khali’s Storm | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sherman’s Marlin | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Splendid One | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Mission | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Timaeus | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Monopoly Man | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mackville | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Camm’ Duke | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rhum Pressure | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Arc | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Truth | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spun and Won | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paxsational | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disarmed | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Return the Ring | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Concorde Spirit | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | What’s Up Bro | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | J D Factor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Scarborough Fair | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Cool | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beira | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Stress Reliever | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Santagata | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | To Be Loved by You | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Dat Dares Right | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saucy Six | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allenhurst | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Melancia | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Allenhurst | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Words | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spitfire Gal | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R Special | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Katerina Ristova | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Daughters’ Gift | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Global Charmer | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reasoned Analysis | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 6 | Just Beat the Odds | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | High Oak | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | He’smyhoneybadger | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Reasoned Analysis | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Stolen Base | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twenty Four Mamba | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Murray | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Bouncer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allure of Money | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Montebello | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jackson Heights | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brew Pub | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Allure of Money | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Horse Be With You | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amedeus Music | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Song | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | That’s Money | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.