Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 9, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mesa Spirit 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Don’task Don’ttell 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 On Your Mark 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Atras 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Man On Attack 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Uncle Berley 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 We Miss Arlington 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Shut Up Man 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Appeal Denied 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mustique 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Machiva 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Zaghruta 1.80 2.4 5-1
6 6 Vino Bella 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 McKinzie Magic 4.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Pink Ruby 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Honor That Dude 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mardi Gras Mambo 6.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Louisiana Native 15.00 2 4-1
8 8 Nova’s Return 15.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Sophie’s Painter 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Koodie 20.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Political Agenda 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Tap the Tequila 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Venn 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mr. Four Sevens 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Mysterious Spirit 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Peso Pesado 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Ells 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Hoosier 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Totally Addicted 4.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Knockalittlelouder 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Muffin Nuts 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Classic Embrace 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ez Tree Ates 2.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Embrasser 15.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Cheval B 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Acousticat 4.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Fuego K 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Lolo’s Girl 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Miss Louise 10.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 F J’s Warrior 20.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Sell the Buffalo 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Went West 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Premium 20.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Mischief Joke 15.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Golden Quality 3.50 3.9 7-1
11 11 B W P Spirit 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Dr. Snyder 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Prince James 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Grand Design 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Military Bearing 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 India Ink 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Findaway 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Castille 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pula 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Peak Earnings (GB) 12.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Storms of Life 12.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Star Anise 4.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 So Jordan 8.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Sunday Tiff 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Playmate 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Wannawholelottaluv 12.00 5 10-1
4 4 Purring 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Talksalot 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Kathlyns Phalanx 20.00 5.7 11-1
16 16 Miss Harmonic 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 In Your Life 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Charluche 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Legal Deceiver 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Curls Nite Out 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Contraband Early 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Zestiny 20.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 You Good 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Temple of Peace 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Witchology 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Battle Face 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Rexinator 15.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Prince Liam 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Mister Dennis 3.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 C F Jimmy Ray 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Cesium 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.