Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Custom V K W 0 0-1
7 7 Lucky Gem 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mopac Traffic 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Clearly Bella 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Instaspeed 4.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Fret No More 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Perfect Deal 4.50 7.7 15-1
6 6 Kisses for Cooper 6.00 8 15-1
8 8 Eve of Eve 3.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Custom V K W 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Magistrate 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Paved in Gold 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Warp Nine 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Equal Protection 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Drobny 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Storm Force 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Sharp Strike 8.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Wedding Gift 20.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Two Weeks Notice 12.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Max S 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 A Miss Deameanor 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Lightening Mo 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Uno Pea 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Jaydyn Cat 4.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Everylittlesingh 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Steal Me Over 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Debs Prayer 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Holiday Double 10.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Betsy’s All In 4.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Interlude 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Jon’s Street Band 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Amentum 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Chou Chou d’Aven (FR) 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Stick Shift 4.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 La Boucane 20.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Brilliant Call 8.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Puckster 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Deccan Prince (IRE) 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Boitano 2.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Firewater Jake 8.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Battle Scars 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Z Z’s Prince 1.80 3.7 7-1
2 2 Seven Channels 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 South Side 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Super Wise 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Guitar Boy 8.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Shady McGee (IRE) 15.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Ski Patrol 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Keys Included 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Butler Cabin 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Tonteria 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mr. Faversham 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Kalahari Dreams 0 0-1
2 2 Kalahari Dreams 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pretty Capable 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Grand Academic 20.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Global Quote 10.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Reach 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Harvest n’Hearth 20.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Shadow Coast 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Classic Mac 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Coffee Talk 5.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Daiquiri Sommelier 8.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Juris Doctor 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Storm Ready 1.80 1 2-1
11 11 Kake’s Arrow 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Ez Roll 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Higginsville 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Quaternion 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 River Ridge 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Faith Runner 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Max Is G Money 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Agatino (IRE) 10.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 C’Est Magnifique 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Muntaliq 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Gotta Keep Him 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 B Wayne 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Baltimore Heart 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cesnola 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Fit and Famous 0 0-1
10 10 Sparkle of Hope 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Zoom Erin 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Fit and Famous 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Hurricane Lassie 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Pink Lady Lu Sha 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Reba Attack 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 She’smysmokeshow 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Glamorous Life 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Caviar Resolution 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Fasted 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.