Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Takemetothemoon | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Vin Santo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Surfboard | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Takemetothemoon | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sheer Dominance | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Runner | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El de Leo | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blackwater Falls | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Travel Guide | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bullet Breeze | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alilnalot | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Cory Run | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dudley Dickerson | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dance a Dini | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fenwick Jack | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | October Bliss | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big John | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | La de Peluche | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Picardy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Me So Lucky | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keystormrising | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Music | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winbori | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Go Chloe Go | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Norho’s Gamble | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey and Rain | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Lucky Girl | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Can’t Stop a Chub | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kates Warriorheart | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hardy Choice | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Beemster | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Bayter | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rumaway | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Give It a Go | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Title Shot | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Wicked | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Princess Cupid | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chloe Rose | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Del Rey Dolly | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boca Royalty | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Burning Embers | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Swell | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captivating Cara | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lulinda’s Heart | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rock Me Gently | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Melittlefrostgirl | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tremolo | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Raucus | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go Alice Go | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Hard to Get | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mistress Alana | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Casella | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Giant’s Audible | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jillys Way | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Action Hero | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Latta | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maliblue | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Lincoln | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carcharoth | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Torpedo Run | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sundria | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Voodoo You Do | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonboots | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Kate | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twist Her | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Head | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shell Belle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pardsy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Promise | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | We Ready | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mizzen Man | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crypt | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Red Devolution | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Petulant Delight | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pressing Concern | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Cupid | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cousin Andrew | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.