Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | O P Firecracker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Bold Victory | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Portos | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Ice Time | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Brooklyn Strong | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Big Rich | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Steady Progress | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ten Cent Town | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Acoustic Ave | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Factually Correct | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elysian Meadows | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Graywing | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavyweight Champs | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Royal Vow | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waitwaitdonttellme | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raw Power | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | April Antics | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Condiment Girl | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Everlys Girl | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carbon | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forward Move | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amundson | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pop Coyer | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stewie | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Excellent Timing | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scaramanga | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Persistent Danger | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Short Shift | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shaman Princess | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream On Cara | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mia Nipotina | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eastern Star | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Troubled Luck | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Montauk Mystique | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Magnificent Mile | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mandatory | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | President Z | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reddington | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Magnolia Midnight | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Unlimitedpotential | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lost in Rome | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Margin of Air | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 2 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | La Banquera | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 8 | True Empress | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 5 | A Maize Zing Dotie | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Peak of Chic | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Nolita | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Jackson’s Dixie | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mosienko | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solvency | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Counter Move | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Attorney Wade | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dear Chairman | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solvency | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kings and Queens | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Island Charlie | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Montauk Memoirs | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Omaha Pistol | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.