Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 14, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Maximum Grace 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Its Wild Again 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 One More Sleep 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Lost My Bag 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Call Me Rip 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Rebind 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 B D Primary Ours 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Mine Your Biz 30.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Garfish 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fast Medicine 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Radiant Rebel 2.50 1.2 2-1
9 9 Honor His Half 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mika Ella Pika 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Lulu’s Magic 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 D’busker 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Run Away Samari 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Kisster 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Miss Cheese Bread 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Wicked Sailor 0 0-1
Wicked Sailor 0 0-1
7 7 The Rain Is Gone 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 William’s Legacy 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 She’s a Bandit 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Thundering Desire 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 A Wicked Number 5.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Becky’sgottahaveit 5.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Storm Surge 15.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Lassie Bee 10.00 7 13-1
3 3 Wicked Sailor 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bolt From Above 0 0-1
6 6 Frost Mountain 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Cigarette Boat 1.60 1.5 3-1
7 7 Princip 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Drewmania 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Spanish Wells 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sassi D 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Bolt From Above 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Marcus Gift 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Monsieur Candy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Runnin Munnin 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Red Road 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Treaty 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Pico d’Oro 5.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Confucius 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Impeccability 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Rowdy Jess 30.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Great Runner 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Cascade Cruiser 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tested 0 0-1
3 3 Reteko 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Tough Customer 4.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 El Muheet 6.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Diamond Eyed Jack 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Problem Solved 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Tested 4.50 3.6 7-1
11 11 Extravagant Prince 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Mr. Colossal 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Traitour 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Nothingbutbluesky 12.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Lemon Sohn 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Winning Song 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 M L Brody’s Gem 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Hercules N Love 0 0-1
7 7 C F Cantgoforthat 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Dan d’Oro 10.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Knock’em Out Jerry 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Unbridled Pleasure 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Cajun Cruiser 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 U Rascal U 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Hercules N Love 30.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Trouble Show 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Jack Rabbit 8.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Mo Courage 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 La Perfect Bee 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Joejoe Go 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Can’t Deny It 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Lil Muggs 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Corman 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Innova 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bridle a Butterfly 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Mega Magic 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Moon Sniper 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Spamalot 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fully Blessed 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Glamour Power 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Avie Cakes 6.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Love in the Dark 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sir Sawyer 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Laryslittleracer 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Classy Mimi 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Prior Queen 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Take My Candy 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Little Millie 20.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Wosiemaks 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Show’ Em Nola 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.