Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pens Street | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Palace | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Templar Red | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiffany Twist | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunny Isle Beach | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Key to Success | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Best Performer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kirby Kaye | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Soulfire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Derby Date | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Metallic Man | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cost Basis | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Super Brady | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Larry’s Legend | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Worth Looking | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wet and Wild | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blow Torch | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Burning Leaves | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Warp Ride | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Baron | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itzel | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Itzel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Em | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daisy Duke | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Mikos | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Keepsake | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Not a Joke | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Xyngin Spitfire | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scrupulous | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Morally Complex | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Flat Stormin | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Gasp | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Air Castle | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Honduras Passion | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joyful Josephine | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rosie Cotton | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoke Show Girl | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grizmo | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sky Raven | 50.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zanzora | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Speight | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Line Runner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Myspittinimage | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blue Ember | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Up On the Edge | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silent Revenge | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Evocation | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy Lass | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sensible Choice | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Chiquita Reina | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grace Given | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Adamantly | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Analyzed | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready for Wine | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Chuck Wills Widow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Poetic Fury | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Babe in the Woods | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crew Dragon | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Without Borders | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hailstorm | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Here Comes Braylon | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Mark | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crew Dragon | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lend It Tewmey | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pass Line | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charleston | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | League of Legends | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Passion Rules | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heavenville | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hymn | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Handsome Pants | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amor Patriae | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bermuda Blitz | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Farley Hall | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Sharpens Iron | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Air It Out | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cloud Without Rein | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celentano | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rewire | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gold Member | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Improbable First | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Loud Boy | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natorade | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Statler | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s a Rainy Day | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madmartigan | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | East From West | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bendoog | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Disarm | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Horace Mann | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In a Jam | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tonka Warrior | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Car Wash | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zatara | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catching Freedom | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Presleys Turn | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aunt Dixie | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Sweet Angel | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nip It in the Bud | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Call Darla | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Maritude | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nice Move | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holly Springs | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sundae Sprinkles | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | A Vision of Hope | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spicy Noodles | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Aloha Baby | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sending | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.