Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bedtime Story | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pam Pam | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Book of Wisdom | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foxy Cara | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Echo in Eternity | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Looks First | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Waralo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Billy | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | On the Hill | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Palace Prince | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He Has It All | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Arm | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Heavenly Light | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Higher Force | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pocket Queens | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taliesin | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Misseliofwar | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toxic Girl | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Helen’s Revenge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Jimmy Winkfield S.) – Jimmy Winkfield S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Do It for Michael | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saxton | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ican | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paula’s a Star | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | T Kraft | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arcadian | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Elemiah | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decree and Declare | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Complicated | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Very Sweet | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Beauty | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cahira’s Song | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Is Dandy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Street Swagg | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Floki’s Flight | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Flying | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Trouble | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Swagg | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Larry | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Centavo | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ice Road | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prince Colton | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Colors | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Brown Suga Babe | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elliptic | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Call Her Bluff | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harlan’s Bond | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Racing Colors | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Krystalheir | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Al’s Ruby | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Six Kings | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Solo Empire | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Endowed | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | D Day Sky | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Union Express | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Ollie Can Dance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 3 | Brown Don’t Stop | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Skellig Island | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Accidental Bid | 1.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Takethemoneyhoney | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Save Us Melania | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Malu | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catherine Wheel | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Grammy Girl | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby Jean | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Adeliese’s Smile | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Points Is Points | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Venge | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Glint | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Melt With You | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scat Tu Tap | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 9 | Eric From Miami | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 10 | Houlton | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Final Denile | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 8 | Blame It On Daddy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 7 | Albedo | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1X | 6 | Whiskey N Soda | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.