Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 15, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Infinite Luck 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Consecrated 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Native Runner 3.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Magnum Force 3.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Golden Ice 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Love Pack 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gift Giver 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Josh G 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Night Stick 8.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Deal Em Justice 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Jacque Couteau 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Gabbys Bling 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Maybe Eye’ll Call 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Guile 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Kee Jee 8.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Whole Lotta Lute 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Malibu Rain 8.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Moonovermontgomery 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Joeybones 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Country Cut 20.00 5 10-1
5 5 Kingscote 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Optimus Kat 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 My Boy Tony 6.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Sabi 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Kick a Buck 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Lucky Romance 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Gorilla Trek 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Baltimore Heart 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 I’m Your Man 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Stradivarian 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Thick as Thieves 12.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Coppermaster 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Drip d’Oro 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kenmore West 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Highland Creek 1.20 1.3 3-1
7 7 Brittany’s Dream 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Ballinonabudjet 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sunday Breeze 12.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Dude Drop Kid 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Duvee 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Fiesty Fist 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ghostly Gal 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Autism Community 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Paint Me Perfect 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Past Tense 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Aunt Becca 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 For Love and Honor 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Just Basking 2.50 5 9-1
2 2 Therearenorules 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Sabalenka 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 I Had That One Too 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sandra D 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Broughty Ferry 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Causeway Benny 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Le Monstre Rapide 2.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Reddingandlee 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Poppa Magic 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Native Star 4.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Gem Buoy 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Givemeasecond 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 My Pal Sweet 12.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Razor Crest 10.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Flash N Class 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Todo Men 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Susan’s Boy 5.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Sabertooth 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Redacted 6.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 The Commack Kid 10.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Special Awakening 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Tempus Volat 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Vekoma Kid 20.00 4 7-1
8 8 Foligno 3.50 4.9 9-1
10 10 Mischievous Smile 20.00 9.8 18-1
11 11 Dr. Niko 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Drama Queenie 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Diamond Country 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Kasens Tribe 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Acesanddiamonds 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Chuchi 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Krafty Taffy 20.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Onehellofabirthday 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Twiddly 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Sacred Vow 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Easton’s Moon 20.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 Romona’sdream 20.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Risky Secret 10.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Dose of Reality 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Native Catalina 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.