Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chasing Ryter | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Harbor Code | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Millbo Baggins | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hothead | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Ryter | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Go Prancer | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bonneville Jim | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin Command | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Willisau | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Horizon Wildcat | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Distant Fleet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Winds of Freedom | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run for Kidder | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Panuco | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Del Mar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Whiskeyinateacup | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our Bucky Charm | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Our Bucky Charm | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supernal | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil Be Me | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mining District | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Windribbon | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disobey | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ultimate Hy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princesa Del Tigre | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carole Lombard | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quantum Innergy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy Prancelot | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shezmisbehaving | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thirst for Passion | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love Our Family | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nothing Is Forever | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Celebration | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Big Celebration | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cheeky Gal | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Isabel Ludlow | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uffda | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ryder’s Candy | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solid Tune | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stellar Cap | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | We’re in Trouble | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boss Sully | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tigerhon (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vlahos | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Man Among Men | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Joe Won | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Navy Jack (GB) | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Game Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lurking Fear | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hermelinda’s Fancy | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Laura’s Kidough | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steve’s Big Ticket | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Travel the Map | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Six Hot Grands | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Lucas | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roy Hobbs | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Naukanauka | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Evertoriano | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 98 | Our Expectation | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Santa Ana S.) – Santa Ana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Claypoole (IRE) | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starry Heavens (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Astor | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kathynmarissa | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mahina | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Hug | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Omaha Girl | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sakura Blossom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pax a Punch | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | James J. Braddock | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charmz Away | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Three Wire | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Riding By | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Falcon Wings | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pio Nono | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hornsby | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Tiger Nights | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Ondeado | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Entressa | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Robin With a Why | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vinalia (GB) | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pam and Tina (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Lady (GB) | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abazaami (GB) | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Prestige Fungson | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Misleading | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Isntsheloverly | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Illuminous (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cat The Confidante (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frog | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Cloudy Women | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Time to Shine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.