Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dialbolico 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Smokey Places 1.80 1.3 2-1
5 5 Shakin the Belle 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Remember the Chief 3.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Mano E Mano 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Perfect Creed 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lady Rainicorn 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Giant At Work 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Twirly 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Crimson Queen 3.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Knickknack 5.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Our Preferred Pal 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Very Satisfactory 0.60 1 2-1
4 4 Nilruc 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Broderick 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Belmont Union 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Lcgolucky 30.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Laird of Magnolia 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Noble One 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Tip of the Boot 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fade to Grey 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Barbratina 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Just Music 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Bella Queen 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Sweetest Princess 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Tipple 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 The Judge and Jury 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Jake Rocks 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Charging Aero 2.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Uncle George 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Thank You Jon 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Allaboutthemoney 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Screaming Uncle 12.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Collect From Ike 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Majestic Frontier 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Schlomo 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Roofer 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Palace Boss 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Twohonestmischief 6.00 4 7-1
7 7 Inonit 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Sounds Like Fun 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Ark Royal 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Ready Set Twirl 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Fly’n Frisbee 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lou 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Just Licorice 6.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Shifty Gold 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Run of the House 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Miles and Miles 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 McDiesel 10.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Kakao 20.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 I’m Solo N in Love 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 What’s Up Bro 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Contrary Thinking 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Shipsational 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Master of Arms 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Antonio of Venice 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 War Stride 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Iridescent 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Ignite the Light 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 Printrack 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Collect Dattt 0 0-1
1 1 Lady Zeta 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 It Takes Heart 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 My First Love 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Collect Dattt 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Spiritual Lady 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Jackson Avenue 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Vegas Weekend 10.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Jackie the Joker 15.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Maggie T 6.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.