Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gazon (GB) | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Cavalier | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Old Nine (IRE) | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gazon (GB) | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Hero | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sand Bagger | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | White Mountain | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whats the Buzz | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Joint Venture | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thirty Four Coupe | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duran | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zimba Warrior | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nauvoo | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nothing Is Forever | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizzy Twister | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Hello | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Danzing Flyer | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smile Baby Smile | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Monclaire | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sogno Di Vino | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Om Brew | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shapoval | 1.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Ditty | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giant Luther | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zagreus | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speed of Elon | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Nano | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shofner | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let Seamus Go | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nation | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nassau Circle | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Extensive | 1.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Noble Reflection | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Royalty | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commander (FR) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Flew South | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devil Moon | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bob’s Blue Moon | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yacowlef (IRE) | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blissterinthesun | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Petite Ange | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spinning | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Made to Move | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wishful Winker | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Magical | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Irish O’brien S.) – Irish O’brien S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pushiness | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moment’s Pleasure | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sneaker | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shocking Grey | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tam’s Little Angel | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prancingthruparis | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lamporghini | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cornelia Fort | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fireman Dan | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lone Scout | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saltwater Cowboy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Marcus | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bruckner | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Damazio | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always On Cay | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tamarando Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Delightful Laura | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitty Marren | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lila | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cloudy Women | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Time to Shine | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brilliantly | 1.20 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Favor to You | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sensational Dream | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Innovative | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.