Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 21, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Joker On Fire 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Social Hour 1.40 1.5 3-1
4 4 Bobby Bob 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Honor the Bull 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Daw Samaa 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Stormin Sammy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Roman Goddess 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 The Shoe Lady 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Magic Eight Ball 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Street View 2.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Dolce Sera 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Baroness Bourbon 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fast Amendment 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Allofasuddenlee 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Big Ego 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Stormy’s Dreaming 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 E Z Bourbon 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Me Wise Magic 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Premier Cru 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Carmen’s Candy Jar 0 0-1
2 2 Sassy Shenanigans 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Carmen’s Candy Jar 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Miss American Pie 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 April Storm 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Stunning Sugar 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Cara’s Dreamweaver 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiz Donegal 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Neuschwanstein 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Az U Chase Me 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Because the Night 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Boss Three O Two 4.50 5.5 10-1
9 9 Sin Nombre 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Masterwork 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Stjames 6.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Steady Progress 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Funny Joke 2.50 1 2-1
7 6 Flowing River 10.00 5 9-1
1 4 Blake B. 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 8 Hot Rod Rumble 6.00 6.6 12-1
1A 9 Collected Special 3.50 6.9 13-1
8 7 Bronx Bomber 4.00 7.6 14-1
2B 10 Persistent Danger 6.00 7.6 14-1
5 3 Khafre 6.00 8.5 16-1
4 2 Gun Maestro 20.00 9.7 18-1
3 1 Perfect Flight 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Whittington Park 3.50 1 2-1
7 8 Mighty Atlas 3.00 1.1 2-1
1A 5 The King Cheek 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 My Last Mission 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 7 Dr. Kraft 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Amedeus Music 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Neural Network 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 9 B D Saints 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 6 Rock the Weekend 10.00 7.1 13-1
9 10 Dolly’s Bank 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Freedsdale 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 B Fifty Two 3.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Iron Man Ira 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Solo’s Fury 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 King Freud 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Conniving 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Majestic Arc 30.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Mackville 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Wajda 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Irish Nitro 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.