Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Castle Island | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Fromanothamutha | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Legal Deal | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Celestial Moon | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Gun It | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2B | 5 | Amity Road | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Margin of Air | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Kahala | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| On Command | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 5 | All Class | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 9 | Shesalittle Edgy | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Lady Mine | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Caress | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Majestic Return | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2B | 6 | Sarir | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 8 | On Command | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Royal Poppy | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 7 | Justthefactsjack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Light the Way | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abadin | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J D Factor | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muazarah | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ragazzo Diabolico | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vinsanity | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Concorde Spirit | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turn and Count | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Radauti | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summit Ridge | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kulapat | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Commander | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Ready to Go | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turn and Count | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Griffin’s Wharf | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Proud Divi | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Despo’s Dream | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amy’s Light | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blenheim Baby | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dat Dares Right | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saucy Six | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Cool | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sandi’s Satire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stone Cold Kelly | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | More Than Grace | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madam Opus | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stand the Rain | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ocean Rain | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luckforyou | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | That’s Funny | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Monte Avi | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nine N Four | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | So Spirited | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tarpaulin | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Solomon | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goodbye | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waiting for A. I. | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Shephard | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call Me Calvin | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Solo Mio | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cupid’s Heart | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proud Foot | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Striker Has Dial | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caldwell Luvs Gold | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Everyoneloveslinda | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cara’s Time | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Degree | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberte de Bayeux | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 2 | Liberte de Bayeux | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Shadow Dragon | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Frizzante | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good Money | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Hero’s Medal | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Global Perspective | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mikealicious | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hamilton’s Way | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Findaname | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Pirate | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Bombi | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Total Silence | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rum Cay | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monomoy Beach | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Consider It Done | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cada Dia Mejor | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | El Bombi | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King of the Castle | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Good Question | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Good Moments | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Renew the Blue | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oat Coutour | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.