Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Reign | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Vino Vidi Vici | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speechless | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Mover | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Primo Canary | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charming Tiger | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Reign | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Audax Minor | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gonna Pick Domenic | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heckamighty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Rachael’s Wagon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Chapter and Verse | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Union Dame | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aloha Baby | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ranch Rebel | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moenchanted | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Line Runner | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Special Gift | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Simple Dreams | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daretocatchlove | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sydney’s Joy | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foxy’s Honor | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devlish Gal | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Paris Accord | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Alltail | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | B Sudd | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sitka | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Wide Awake | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unpredictable Bay | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sinner’s Sin | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Breslau | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | De Angelo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Avery’s Mischief | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leilauni Sue | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rational Theory | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bolt On the Rocks | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rogers Park | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brave Samantha | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Eyes | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trista | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Luck Is a Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Coaster | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Queens Jules | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Briterdayzahead | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m No Joke | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dr. Soulfire | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tim Tal | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vulcan | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Queens Jules | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gambler Rocket | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Johnny Up | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Southern Sunset | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hello Hot Rod | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cooler King | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Colosi | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Verb | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | W W Crazy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Double Barrel | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mendelssohns March | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carolo Rapido | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Creative Minister | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Interlock Empire | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Game Keeper | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lear | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Myra’s Boy | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Drip d’Oro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Purple Martin S.) – Purple Martin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Accelerating | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glee | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Battleshipper | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kimchi Cat | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gunite Max | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eskenforaraise | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espionage | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Martini Blu | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Martini Blu | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Espionage | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alpine Thunder | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mean Jakey | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ian Glass | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Business Model | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vale | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Citrus Bay | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rowdy Rascal | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Without Objection | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Heist | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Payne | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top Gun Tommy | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lundberg | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eli’s Promise | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Congrats On Fifty | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Morello | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Major Blue | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Got Thunder | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manta Rey | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Essex H.) – Essex H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holus Bolus | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Tarantino | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kinetic | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Route One | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unload | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patriot Spirit | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Bias | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maycocks Bay | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Storm Strategy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stuck N Snow | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moneystrike | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Holus Bolus | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Where’s Randy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clear Echo | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reveille Valley | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Point Blank | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doublecheck | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gee No Hollander | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Outlaw Run | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | To too Twentytwo | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Partyinthestreets | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.