Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 23, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Clare Quilty 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Atrocious 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Always Be Smart 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Timing Difference 1.40 2 4-1
5 5 Party With Smarty 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
The Big Calhouna 0 0-1
3 3 Patty Van Twinkle 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 The Big Calhouna 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Scarborough Fair 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Be Inspired 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Yo Leven 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Pam Pam 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Consumer Sentiment 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Tiarella 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Security Detail 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Shirl’s Delight 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Sheer Will 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Wake Up Lauren 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Super Swift 0 0-1
1 1 Vekinda 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Super Swift 1.20 1.6 3-1
3 3 Scheduling Dude 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Buttah 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Just Clarity 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Celtic Prince 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Good Mission 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Hookin’ Up 3.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Danneel 1.60 1.7 3-1
3 3 Sunset Park 12.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Miss Uproar 4.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 She’s a Natural 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Ready to Romance 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Broken Zipper 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mary in the Irons 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Royal Bobbie 0.80 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sabby Sunset 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Divorced of Course 30.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Immigration Law 6.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Instant Vision 15.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Eddie Marie 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Three B’s 1.20 1 2-1
4 3 King Phoenix 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Tapwrits Temper 3.50 3 6-1
1 6 Western Wolf 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Sobieski 15.00 5 9-1
1A 7 Brave Bear 6.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 One Vision 20.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Vamonos Vamonos 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Embraceable Gal 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Walk With Me 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Grace Reformed 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Mommasgottagun 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Purpose 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Brooklyn Dantz 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Sail With the Wind 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Magni 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Have a Cigar 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Romeo Void 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Lucky Dragon 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Asset Management 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Dio Romano 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Kismeholdmethrlme 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 First Pitch 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.