Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Summer Splash | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Without Objection | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Count de Monet | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Principe Carlo | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Puk | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drifter | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Eugene | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miracle On Central | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fine Tuned | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real Blues | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | G. Erik | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Falcon | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Z Boss | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vsop | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malachi | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Work Boots | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Max Mischief | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | E Money | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Always First | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bote | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Dial | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Russian | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A P Ruly | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | More Power | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord of Rhymes | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Heartaches | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Viney | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mayor | 3.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chromerunner | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grey Street | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amazing Day | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | God’s Country | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Golden City Street | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shesacinch | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Chipotle Pepper | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Ngala | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chipotle Pepper | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fly Like the Wind | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sthenic | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Petit Jean | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chuck Wills Widow | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Georgia On E’smind | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fine by Design | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shesacinch | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Riley | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Edge | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunnyandseventy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Blue Dazzler | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flaming Glory | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Payton’s Beauty | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spotaway | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let’sgojlo | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Felony Flats | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loud Kitty | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Coventina | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’d Be Honored | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | So Thrilling | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Briscoe County | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Funding Source | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fifty Cent Dollars | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fightertown | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sittin On Go | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Life | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Show Time | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard to Fathom | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapsasional | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ringside | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coinage | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paynter’s Canvas | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Camp David | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | American Law | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Willy D’s | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pats Property | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hayes Strike | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Target | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ethereal Road | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oviatt Class | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | What’s Up Doc | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ardanwood | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Huge Bigly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Trident Hit | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Recker Point | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Happy Strike | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gloriette | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Punchy Girl | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stellar Lily | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wise Miss | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kant Believe It | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Won Happy Mama | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Appeal Factor | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Demidanu | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pharoah’s Heart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stillbilly | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Get Away With It | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coach Sam P | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Razorback Army | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cool and Cloudy | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Denali Lightning | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Go Go Ro Ro | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Country Boy | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Angelsnbutterflies | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Mister | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lord Hennessy | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Imo the Best | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Miracle Mack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Speaking Loud | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.