Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Brown Shoes | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Wildcat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Liberty Star | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Geebert | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Angry Man | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empire’s Score | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cobble Road | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Petulant Delight | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wylda Wylde | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laguardia | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Demolition Woman | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Jane | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | J J’s Honor | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mistress Alana | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mariah Kathryn | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Evasive Moves | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Magnifico | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carry Grant | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leigh’s Last Hero | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hundred Proof | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Makemydaycharlie | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Peak of Chic | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Photo Finish | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Principia | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Popover Gal | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Edge of Town | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tara’s Talent | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Civil Notion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Baafeed | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Six Whips | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nuedorf | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reckless Place | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mischievous Juan | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hotpot | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wizard Serrat | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap in Formation | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cisco Kid | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unswayed | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rennie | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Omaha Eight | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bali Amour | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Pity | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ryan’s Fleet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahsad | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Ahsad | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskeymac | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Macho Eddie | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truth and Honesty | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Devolution | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mizzen Man | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crypt | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Back East | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Outlaw | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happily Delusional | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Analog Jones | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Bogan | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Regalpains | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riley’s Rockstar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mega Charlie | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskeyromeosierra | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tatum | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Flay | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All American Rod | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catty’s Uncle | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Boys Answer | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Respirator | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smokey Places | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Clint | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Master of Tweets | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fastidious | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Light My Way | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Three Wells | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Run My Card | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Winner | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lotta Charlie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.