Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Majesty’s Song |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
City Minute |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ellagio |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
La Cyber |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mario’s Sweet Girl |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shelovestotravel |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
R Wins Aren’t Luck |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Palace View (IRE) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Alasdair |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Breakwater |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flat Top Box |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Husband Material |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ortus |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Remerton |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jerry’s Turn |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
T B Twelve Always |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Skull Honor |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Easier Said |
1.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bright Lights Joe |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Handsome Fox |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
John’s in Charge |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Theo’s Thunder |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kharif |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Carcone |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lazio |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bucchero’s Dude |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Torch Is Passed |
3.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
To Monarch |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nostalgia’s Smile |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Laila Bella Girl |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lionza |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Speranzosa |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cheeca Blue |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Girvin Star |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Molly’s a Bullet |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Alas Doradas |
20.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fiery |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Arrogancy |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coldstream |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Practiko |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Danzig Chips |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Top Maverick |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Adventurous Spirit |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Focusyn |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Trumpets |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Etrurian |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ms. Tart |
1.60 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Oh Darlin |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Simply Stated |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Time Passage |
2.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Neom City |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Emirates Affair |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aless Queen |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Atalanta Alexandra |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Neom City |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fontina |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gullfaxi |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uncaptured Dove |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Dual Income |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
River of Time |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quizler |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Boy Rocky |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Friolento |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Esperanzito |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Backdoor Royalty |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Alinao Forever |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.