Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Majesty’s Song 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 City Minute 1.80 1.9 4-1
4 4 Ellagio 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 La Cyber 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Mario’s Sweet Girl 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Shelovestotravel 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 R Wins Aren’t Luck 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Palace View (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Alasdair 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Breakwater 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Flat Top Box 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Husband Material 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Ortus 5.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Remerton 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Jerry’s Turn 10.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 T B Twelve Always 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Skull Honor 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Easier Said 1.60 3.3 6-1
4 4 Bright Lights Joe 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Handsome Fox 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 John’s in Charge 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Theo’s Thunder 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Kharif 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Carcone 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Lazio 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Bucchero’s Dude 8.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Torch Is Passed 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 To Monarch 1.80 3.6 7-1
1 1 Nostalgia’s Smile 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Laila Bella Girl 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Lionza 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Speranzosa 2.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Cheeca Blue 15.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Girvin Star 15.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Molly’s a Bullet 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Alas Doradas 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Fiery 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Arrogancy 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Coldstream 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Practiko 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Danzig Chips 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Top Maverick 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Adventurous Spirit 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Focusyn 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Trumpets 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Etrurian 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Ms. Tart 1.60 4.1 8-1
6 6 Oh Darlin 12.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Simply Stated 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Time Passage 2.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Neom City 0 0-1
6 6 Emirates Affair 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Aless Queen 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Atalanta Alexandra 20.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Neom City 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Fontina 15.00 4 8-1
5 5 Gullfaxi 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Uncaptured Dove 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dual Income 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 River of Time 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Quizler 2.50 2.4 4-1
8 8 My Boy Rocky 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Friolento 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Esperanzito 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Backdoor Royalty 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Alinao Forever 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.