Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 6, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Khafre 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bossmakinbossmoves 1.40 1.2 2-1
3 3 Majestic Frontier 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Commandperformance 4.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Co Conspirator 20.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Kahala 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s Wicked Smart 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Cajunette 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 The Splendid One 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 One Good Raison 5.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Katerina Ristova 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Lumenique 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Golden Candy 0 0-1
3 3 Golden Candy 4.00 1 2-1
2 1 Paxsational 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Narciso Dali 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Royal Tryst 5.00 4 8-1
6 7 Vinsanity 5.00 4.7 9-1
1A 6 Return the Ring 2.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Augustine Red 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Biogio’s Rose S.) – Biogio’s Rose S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sweet Brown Sugar 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sterling Silver 0.80 1.1 2-1
2 2 Caldwell Luvs Gold 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Khali Magic 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Bernietakescharge 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Teca 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Melancia 1.20 1.7 3-1
4 4 Just Words 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Kyle’s Mom 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Aerialist 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Secret Fire 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 D Day Sky 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Endowed 1.80 2.8 5-1
2 2 Solo Empire 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Brown Don’t Stop 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Golden Purchase 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Albedo 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Accidental Bid 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Excellent Timing 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jake Rocks 2.50 2 4-1
7 7 Charging Aero 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Mister J T 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 J J’s Joker 5.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Blake B. 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Dads Good Runner 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Majestic Tiger 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Uncaged 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Uncle Jim 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Tracking Error 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 On the Mount 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Georgia Magic 15.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Toga d’Oro 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Haynesfield S.) – Haynesfield S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bank Frenzy 1.40 1 2-1
2 2 General Banker 4.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Wynstock 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Radio Red 3.00 5 9-1
6 6 Just Step On It 15.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Locke and Key 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Sheriff Bianco 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Calling an Audible 6.00 1 2-1
3 2 Into Stardom 1.20 2.3 4-1
7 7 Our Preferred Pal 10.00 2.4 4-1
2 1 Work Away 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 9 Lady Gunner 6.00 3.5 7-1
1A 8 Lady of Mercia 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Sounds of Summer 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 5 Malibu’s Dynamite 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 Easily Sidetracked 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.