Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golden Keen | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dragon Navy | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kadabra | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Daphne Blue | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Little Sultana | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lennilu | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chambourcin | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Monarca | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor and Obay | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baytown Cassina | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Givemethebeat | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Juno Palace | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Clowning Around | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Estrella Silver | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| Lennilu | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shortstop | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Freedom Maker | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Catalina Cat | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Turnbuckle | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Paved in Gold | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chachaching | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | And Thats My Story | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baobab | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Promissione | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Chuck | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Money Memolo | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Survivor | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cue Country Roads | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Compadre | 30.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Byword | 20.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Task Force | 12.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Romantica | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goats On a Tree | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New Rome | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quietly | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheyenne Moon | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twirling Good Time | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gal Capone | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Expatriate | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Stack | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Heart Spin | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sierra Sky | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three Coins | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Storm Miami (IRE) | 8.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Piquant | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Hair Sam | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnum Force | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Art Fair | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Up to No Good | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | South Bend Tom | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Canisius | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Farley Hall | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Covert Law | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sprint Out Pass | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jack’s Promise | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Shiloh’s Mistress | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Random Harvest | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Better | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Federalism | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Segesta | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Sweet Chablis | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Waves of Mischief | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buttercream Babe | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Belle of Rights | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Firefoot | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chilled | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Broughty Ferry | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Serene Seraph (IRE) | 15.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miwa (GB) | 8.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Partir (FR) | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paris Lily | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ultima Grace | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chasten | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Getting After It | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Justinqueso | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liam in the Dust | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruth | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Especially | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mad About Marie | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indeed | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lolo Le Plume | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heavenly Sunset | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salted | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ghanaayem | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Plaza Cue | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tejanita | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Authentic | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | High Note | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fallon | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | In the Stars | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Heartbeat | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Scuderia | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Protective Custody | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Palisades S.) – Palisades S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dreamaway | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Normandy Coast | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Makeit to Cheyenne | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turbulent Force | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Warheart | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out On Bail | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Neck Paula | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Killjoy | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brie’s in Town | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Absolutely Hot | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Flat to Da Mat | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Middleground Capital Beaumont S.) – Middleground Capital Beaumont S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Continuity | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stunner | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eclatant | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Verity | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | G W’s Girl | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Volleyballprincess | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Taking Candy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deterministic | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Quality | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lagynos | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Balnikhov (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Swiftsure | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Miranda Rights | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Injunction | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior Johny | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starting Over | 15.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Another Mystery | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Money Supply | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Accredit | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Signator | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.