Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bond’s Belle | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Mucho Tigger | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Mosler | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bond’s Belle | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midsummers Eve | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dine and Dash | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Sugar Boo | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Mayhem | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweetheart Moon | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Griffin’s Wharf | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Bull | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Committed Games | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Boss | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Go J J | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Christmas Spirit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Society Ball | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Kate | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feelin So Lucky | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cluck Cluck | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Craze | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quit Quay | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lilly Lightning | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Key Stat | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Myluckeyvalentine | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Armed N Dangerous | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nancie’s Boy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Grey | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Triple Sec | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky One Time | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Deadpan | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Collection Day | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runandscore | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arrow Speed | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whatahardmanfidead | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | White Series | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roundtop | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Divine Armor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Energy Efficient | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always Gambling | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Break the Chains | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quincannon | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Am That I Am | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Cardo | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Home School | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restless | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Elvis Himself | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heard On Thestreet | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Restless | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Great Heavens | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carvellian Quest | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jasiel | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortheloveofrun | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Fortheloveofrun | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | General Maximus | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On Secret Service | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D Hopper | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Dilemma | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Fruits Ripe | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Alex | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.