Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 6, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mr. Leasure 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sketchy 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Malibu Rocks 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Gentlemen’s Club 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Louis the Champ 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 American Glory (GB) 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Excel Calculator 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Donttellourwives 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Icons Only 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Maximun Gold 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Approval Rating 12.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Nikolina 1.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Sexzie 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Happy Does 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Nameless 1.20 2 4-1
3 3 Contrary Chieftain 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Abadon 30.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Big Bet 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Dark Marcus 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Love Candy 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Sea Dog 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bougie Like 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Happyasaclam (IRE) 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Catholic Cat 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Nakota (IRE) 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Big Leap 2.50 6.7 13-1
8 8 Holly Goquickly (FR) 1.80 7.1 13-1
5 5 G’oro 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Double Cappuccino 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Woodbine Way 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 I’m a Risque Girl 3.50 1.1 2-1
10 10 Tessa (GB) 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Assembled Storm 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Amanda Rose 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Roses R Blue 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Daddy Indeed 30.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Spread the Risk 5.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Roman Empress 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 O’Neill’s Legacy 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Schilflied 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Oveta’s Hobby 3.50 1.3 3-1
2 2 Magale 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Prime and Ready 10.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 An Chorr Dubh (IRE) 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Hey Lil Lady 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Empress Matilda (GB) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Concord Bridge 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Day and Age 10.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Goal Oriented 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Train the Trainer 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Sierra Silver 5.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Varney 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Pacific Quest 30.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Pursuit of Freedom 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (John Shear S.) – John Shear S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Supersonic Blue 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Artislas 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Cali Cat 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Muscled 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Incanto (IRE) 4.00 5 9-1
3 3 Toughness 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Triple Diamonds 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Letmein 1.50 1 2-1
4 4 James J. Braddock 15.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Artist Point 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Charley Pride 3.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Cotton Rosser 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Willisau 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Got Your Six 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Riding By 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Excessive Thievery 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Spectacular Tiger 12.00 10.3 20-1
11 11 Jennys Tiz 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bizzee Channel 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Kerry Gold 10.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Atomic Drop 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 So I’m Told 12.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Mackinnon 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Hurricane Cloud (GB) 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Yacowlef (IRE) 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Pass the Baton 20.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 American Empire 30.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Liberal (IRE) 15.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Vantastic 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tranche 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Extensive 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Gavea 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Canada Gate 3.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Brazenly 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Western Avenue 30.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Hard to Figure 4.50 4 8-1
8 8 Ghazaaly 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Mongolian Max 30.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Fowler Blue 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Smooth Salute 0 0-1
4 4 Over the Ocean 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Khantaro d’Oro 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Naismith 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Kawazaki (IRE) 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Hurricane Way 2.50 4.5 8-1
9 9 Smooth Salute 30.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Big Juanito 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Andreadytorumble 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Bronko Nagurski 12.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Six Magpies (IRE) 10.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Maxville 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.