Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Carol Said No 1.80 1 2-1
5 6 Soul Secret 1.60 2.8 5-1
4 5 Rodeo Star 2.00 3 6-1
3 3 Power Driver 10.00 4 8-1
1A 4 Yayi Nikolle 1.80 4.3 8-1
2 1 Lookin to Rock 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Proud Divi 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Cynane 1.40 1.3 2-1
2 2 Beira 1.60 3.2 6-1
1 1 Dat Dares Right 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Light Thoughts 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Aint No Joke 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Mackville 8.00 1.9 3-1
4 4 Goldfire 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Iron Man Ira 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Prince of Truth 1.80 SCRATCH
5 5 Shakin the Belle 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pineapple Man 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Eric From Miami 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Provision 4.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Janssen 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Az U Chase Me 3.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Sin Nombre 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Will Be Famous 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Shesalittle Edgy 4.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Gridlock 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Willow Bend 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Echo in Eternity 10.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Our Liberty Belle 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bedtime Story 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Pam Pam 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Fuhgeddaboudit 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Peak of Chic 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Valentine Gift 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Foxy Cara 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Book of Wisdom 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Swift Magic 0 0-1
3 3 Buttah 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Outsource 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 9 Swift Magic 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 I’m Solo N in Love 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Corvus 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Play the Gray 15.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Mo Kreesa 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Mo for the King 3.00 3.9 7-1
1A 8 First Pitch 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Magic Beach 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Nine N Four 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Stimuli 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Renew the Blue 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 No More Sins 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Brave Buck 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Carlin Contention 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 So Spirited 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.