Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Warp Nine | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ky Thirty Won | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Citizen | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diver | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pastero | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flyin Ryan | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Batter Up | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nash Potatoes | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heatontap | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pure Panic | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Willtorun | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tagliatelle | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cape Trafalgar | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Regal Rey | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Critical Threat | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Bob | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shape Note | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Refuah | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tenebris | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Maxima | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Shrewd Operator | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wedding Mood (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eyes On Italy | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grove City Sunset | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Good Game | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Super Maxima | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Theravada | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Isle Be Ready | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hibiscus | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bea Trix | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Velocity | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lilium | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Bit of Frost | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Strive for Honor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Oak Alley | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | McKinzie River | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gamblers Tail | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caper’s Hooley | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Standard of Proof | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goldbrick | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frosty Indulgence | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Indy Magic | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Riddle Solver | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trade Imbalance | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honest Al | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tunisian Spring | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Warlander | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forty N Five | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mesero | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sing Sing | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Solid Left | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquering Cat | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ready for Peace | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | States’ Rights | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | After Taxes (IRE) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mika | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Assertiveness | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Cordobes | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Chris’s Revenge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Spinback | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Master of Light | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speak Easy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harrodsburg | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Mischief | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Call Me Andy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eye Witness | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deer District | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Code Omaha | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | How’s Ur Attitude | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wico (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vex | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Bourbon Flight | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Chambers | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Humor | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baker Hayfield | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zandvoort | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Modus Bestia | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Flight | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vex | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nantucket | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fact | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discerning Spirit | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Truzz | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sinister Smile | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jafara (GB) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Annelle | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Dear Louise | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 14 | 14 | Annelle | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dear Louise | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Al Jafara (GB) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always Forever | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Lonelle | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atomic City | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poppy the Princess | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Birkin Girl | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eunomia | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Burning Pine | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bessie Abott (IRE) | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Precious Medley | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | La Marinera | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Romany Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bonne Fille | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Table Flirt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stonestreet Lexington S.) – Stonestreet Lexington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bullard | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hypnus | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Praetor | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gosger | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bracket Buster | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Native Runner | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hard as Life | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Touchy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rolando | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Jenny Wiley S.) – Jenny Wiley S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Choisya (GB) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Poolside With Slim (IRE) | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kehoe Beach | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excellent Truth (IRE) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Show Sammy Jo (GB) | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sacred Wish | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Choisya (GB) | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jabaara (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vina Arana (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sherbini | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Madeline’s Promise | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Boutwell Time | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Autumn Rhythm | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adrian | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zaghruta | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spun Up | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aviso | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baytown Butterfly | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Black Ginger | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Melle Mel | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Buddy Brooks | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Talent Show | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Spankerboom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.