Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Twirling Ridge |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Diblasi |
0.80 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ohoopee |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Il Sorpasso |
30.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Baytown Triobloidi |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Talmadge |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Baytown Wonder |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Vaggio |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Aerate |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Stormproof |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Captain Fancy |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Heavy Hitter |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lean Music Machine |
1.60 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Memphis Slim |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jack Rabbit |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bet On Bret |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Skyler |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Raising Kane |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
How’ya Getting On |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Dublin’s Knight (IRE) |
|
0 |
0-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dublin’s Knight (IRE) |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Proudly Hailed (GB) |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Global Prosperity |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hard Circle |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Borrowed Time |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Salamis |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Plensa |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
World Beater |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Speedini |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Esmark |
15.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rock It |
12.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nomolimbo |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Roll On Big Joe |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Otto the Conqueror |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Top Gunner |
0.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nova Rags |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Simcoe |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
El Magnifico |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Secured Lender |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Holster |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Private Reserve |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ghost Nation |
20.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Venik |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Beechmont |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
King of Gotham |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Name It |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spielman |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Moon Channel |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lebowski |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Thirteen Colonies |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
A Bourbon for Toby |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Brushfire |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dr. Niko |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Executive |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mighty Mike |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zun Reyder |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Anew |
4.50 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Moon Channel |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Ritz |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Money Man |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Impel |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Into Champagne |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Paynt Ya Later |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Easy Red |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miss Enchanted |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sing a Little Song |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Caumsett |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marmalade Skye |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Lotsandlotsofcandy |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Pleasant Embrace |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Giant’s Causeway S.) – Giant’s Causeway S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Awesome Treat |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Future Is Now |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Toupie |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Danse Macabre |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Just a Care (IRE) |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lithe Spirit |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pandora’s Gift (IRE) |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Awesome Treat |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Accomplished Girl |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Get Twisted |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
B G Warrior |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Livehappy |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Big Salt Lick |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Maravich |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hotline Blink |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Storm the Streets |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Romantic Lead |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hen Hen |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Soco and Lime |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Parade of Fears |
4.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Beck’s Spirit |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bourbon Street Boy |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Desert Aire |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.