Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lumenique | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Looking for Ginny | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aerialist | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kyle’s Mom | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exotic Cat | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Lilac | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shirl’s Delight | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stand the Rain | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Donor Advised | 0.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | That’s Funny | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luckforyou | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easily Sidetracked | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sorority Prank | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Houlton | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Incantation | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brewing | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broderick | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hero’s Medal | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Neuschwanstein | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abadin | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Brew Pub | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tetsu | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | J J’s Joker | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honorary Degree | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Return the Ring | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Wine Responsibly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mariachi | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gun It | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spun and Won | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cold as Hell | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dangerous Ride | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acoustic Ave | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | M B’s Munning | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Margin of Air | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Endeavor | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lost in Rome | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Banker | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commandperformance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Life and Light | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hermoso Hombre | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Treaty Obligation | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Leading Contender | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Reasoned Analysis | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Ignite the Light | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Drum Roll Please | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Reddington | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Magnolia Midnight | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Boys Answer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King of the Castle | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magni | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fines Creek | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Big Ego | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Break the Fall | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vesuvio | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gorzo | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Barrie | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ark Royal | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tip of the Boot | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.