Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Copper Missile | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First of His Name | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Schifty’s Haloid | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gorilla Trek | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | National Eclipse | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Falk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sprint Out Pass | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Double Jeopardy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Atarah | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rather Distinct | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snipsnippitysnip | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Les Is Best | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Tapit | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thames | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Goldenageactress | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Union | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Mackenzie | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Itza Kitty | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kanazawa | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Acceptance Speech | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bellofthebluegrass | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Cause | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Kalamoh | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Blaze | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mariposa de Pista | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eloper | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Show | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mila Junes | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s the Wine | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Boujee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Backtrack | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Redacted | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vix | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oh Please | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Black Hills | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vaya Jeffe | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flick | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Love That Symphony | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pyromania | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Free Spin | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Day Money Deegan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Araucano | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Johnny Come Lately | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Send Cash | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creditworthy | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Monsieur Candy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Devil in Disguise | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle William | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Sniper | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let’s Go Mark | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Surf City | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bolt From Above | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bucyk | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Go Captain | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Into Diamonds | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pivotal Moment | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hesper | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bundle | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shewontbudge | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mazayaat | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheila | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clicquot | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crossing Jordan | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Sun | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tejanita | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tucson | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Safe Trip Home | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Curlin | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Freedom’s Way | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quatrocento | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Verbal | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Le Gris | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tres Soles | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Raptor’s (BRZ) | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mutaawid | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Agent Creed | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deuteronomy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mila Rose | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empirical Mischief | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carlisle Bay | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mascara | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wisconsin Gal | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cavatelli | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Marinera | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Love You Anyway | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chere Amia | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gum | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Humbled | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Pharaoh | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Handsintheair | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rainbow Rania | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bit of Frost | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oak Alley | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pemaquid | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Turmalina | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Tulip Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Portfolio Duration (GB) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.