Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Evidence | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lazio | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Tyson | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Most Handsome | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Epitaph | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Front End | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Pit | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Squire | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vito’s Wildcat | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Favorite Bird | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Player | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beers On Me | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chance to Party | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Housebuster Dude | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sleeper Sullivan | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luna Estrella | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Triple Stitched | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jalapeno | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bowie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sir Lomax | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sultan the Great | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rolling On | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rachel’s Coach | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Whirlwind Ride | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rough Draft | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ee Yah | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chaplin | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | West Bank | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Anthem | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Jenny | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | How Bout Dat | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Bright Flames | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | For the Thrill | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Murabeh | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shace Sloane | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meistersinger | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rozagante | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Genuine Gomo | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Therapy | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Develop Product | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Black Empire | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Frosty McFly | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heretickle | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Corta Fuego | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | El Silencio | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Sponge Time | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Pudding Lane | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Layabout | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bad Obsession | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Motown Mika | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miguel’s Belle | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Believe in Magic | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madness | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Firebird | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Foxy Lady | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Hot Spark | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kikilove | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hollywood Mayhem | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neshume | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Venezuela Is Gold | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Mayo | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder Cane | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mega Don | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nervana | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Jefe | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Lady James | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fulminate | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Foggy Note | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Bella | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Z First | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jokes Up | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gunesh | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Efficacious | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Condora | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maddy R | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Ride | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bal de Mar | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Blocks | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncaptured Dove | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clay Soldier | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fashionable Kitty | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.