Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tunisian Spring | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frost Mountain | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hesper | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bucyk | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pair of Socks | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Express Line | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Victoria’s Shances | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Epic Desire | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fear | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brazilian Conexao | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vibora | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Sensei | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Anubis | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Maximus Prime | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Vincent | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sandal’s Song | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Something Fast | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Starship Belmont | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Ana | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gray Frost | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Savannamarie | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laserjet | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trouble Free | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flowery Path | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pittore d’Oro | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Altered Shot | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cairo Street | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Isle Beach | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Belle | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sense of Pearl | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Cruella | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abitibi | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Marksman Queen (GB) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Combination | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pisciotta (GB) | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vive Veuve | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Siempre Elegante | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Dean | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boss Lady Bailey | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sanctify | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Holy Foley | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Had That One Too | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Allamericanbeauty | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Streetwhereyoulive | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Thief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cozee Rags | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Divine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Itwillbefun | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Up the Creek | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Splash Master | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zen Moment | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Modern Sound | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Laurie’s Secret | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | I’m a Cookie Lover | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Order Restored | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Theatrix | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Breezzy | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lazy Y Legacy | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Passage East | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tegwar | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | People Get Ready | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | True Passion | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Preyathousandwords | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carmen Mathews | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swift Kelce | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devilsgoldenfiddle | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lovely Words | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | That’s Right | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Santorini | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Finster | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Monarch | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Doncho | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clear the Air | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sosua Summer | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Double Clutch | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Okiro | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Invasion | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Let My People Go | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Apollo Ten | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shards | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dhabab (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Baird Doubledogdare S.) – Baird Doubledogdare S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tarifa | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just F Y I | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candied | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Occult | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreaming of Mo | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gin Gin | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neon Icon | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Alimara (FR) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unreasonable (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Bar | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Expensive Queen (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Quietly | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | El Megeeth | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mystifying | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Shiro | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aspen Dawn | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Egyptian Candy | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Freak City | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Twirling Good Time | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Choate | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Faire Plaisir | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Venomous Vixen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Loterie (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.