Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sir Gallivant | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mintastic | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surfin’ M | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stonington | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charming Tiger | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Staniel Cay | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winning Song | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vaden | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet La Crema | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Museum Quality | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rewire | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quarrymen | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ryno Wrecker | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chick Command | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thanks Frank | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rev Too | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clear Echo | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Landlord | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Peanut | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Socks | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocket Sanders | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Great Barrier | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m an Oak | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dinner At Crumpies | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dalton’s Rutrow | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Only a Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hollywood Ending | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phreddie Mac | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aaron | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Ask Watts | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rebelious | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Rum | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dual Monarchy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t That a Kick | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Battleoftheravine | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Justify’s Magic | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bello | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Razorback Army | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Streakin Deacon | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pulaski | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lake of Fire | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Hit King Rose | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tweet Some Mo | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heavenly Deacon | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Diamond | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | More Power | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Viney | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mischelof (CHI) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Classically | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gluckstadt | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Copper Echo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mount Craig | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Haskelled | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Court | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Cool and Cloudy | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fetchs Brahm | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gee No Hollander | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goodtimejustice | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bang Bang Fury | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Costly | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ahamo | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Ruby | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunset for Sandra | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Suitefourfourthree | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reuleaux | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Best Song | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boujee Beach | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mean Jakey | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dance Man | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tim Tal | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Permafrost | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | J J’s Ranger | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magia Nera | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trikitraki | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wet and Wild | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tie Breaker | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baseball Politics | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Husker Butch | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cane Creek Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Vulcan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Last Diamond | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rowdy Riot | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gateskeeper | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Storms Home | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon’s Fault | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pineland | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Jimi D | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Go | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Title Contender | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Putting Eagle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Haunted Flame | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dawson James | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speaking Loud | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get Away With It | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Go Go Ro Ro | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lord Hennessy | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Markansas | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kensington Cove | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mandatory Mission | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Uncle Tater | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Imo the Best | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oink | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grey Street | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Willy Cuts | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Giant Moon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.