Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Coast | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let Seamus Go | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Supreme Coast | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Travail | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rowan August | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Nano | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Betterbelucky | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cyprus Moon | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eltonsingsanother | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mayacama | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Matina | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Kat | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Fashion | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Madeira Wine | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Mama Sue | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Highlands | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiergarten | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zeyaraat | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Valkyrian (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Myfavoritedaughter | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Distant Fleet | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heber | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toughness | 1.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Infamous Angel | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winds of Freedom | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | General Jackson | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Panuco | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cayucos | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nell’s Legacy | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miso Phansy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lava Lucy | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chilly Philly | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Press Your Luck | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heras Hope | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musical Number | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Petite Treat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seismic Beauty | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Brown Fox | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jubilant Joanie | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Epione | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shared Future | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Pushiness | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tahini | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Granny Budgie (GB) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Charter (GB) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ma Rae’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vitalera (CHI) | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Visually | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kissed by Fire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crown Magic | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mother’s Prayer | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Druidic | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | J. B. Books | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingmeister | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Upstart Yankee | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aurelian Man | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zimba Warrior | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nauvoo | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fly the Sky | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Atomic Drop | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Irish Element | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Dunmore | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flyover | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Incredible Moves | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oakley’s Smile | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Last Call Paul | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curlin Command | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High King | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Roxiiesbadboy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bonneville Jim | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Warren’s Hot Rod | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Big Notion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.