Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Goldcrest | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lika Rolling Stone | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shezanarcticqueen | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostly Girl | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Everlys Girl | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Senegal | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shared Success | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cumberland Blues | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landauer | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Lister | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nilruc | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Limits of Power | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Dunes | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mano E Mano | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Her Sugar Baby | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belmont Union | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gone Boy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Cuando | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Sturdy | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Duration | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hop Sing | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Strategic Focus | 1.20 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Barb | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Western Run | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | King Lee | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Inonit | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sanzio | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pandemic Hero | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roadie | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Detail Oriented | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Foto | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carlin Contention | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ducky Medwick | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 6 | All Class | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2B | 8 | Sarir | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Speightful Lily | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Lady Mine | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Maggy’s Palace | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mursal | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackson’s Dixie | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 10 | Grammy Girl | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 9 | The Big Calhouna | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Best Impression | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Radauti | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commander of Truth | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good as He Gets | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turn and Count | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scottish Storm | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Spun | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Market Timing | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Miller | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bay Shore S.) – Bay Shore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Faster Gator | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pascaline | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Plex | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Share the Ludt | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McKellen | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dillinger | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Funny Joke | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Return the Ring | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Conniving | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sin Nombre | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Beachwalker | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Masterwork | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Steady Progress | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bezos | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hot Rod Rumble | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Zeebear | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.