Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 19, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bella Vittoria 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rose Rita 4.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Always Practical 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Delicate 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 My Bossy Lady 3.00 4 7-1
4 4 Lylah Renee 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Digital Sale 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Homer’s Odyssey 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Dixie Devil 15.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Night Agent 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Crudo 0.80 3.2 6-1
3 3 C Mac Da Boss 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 You Belong Here 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Boitano 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Copperlite 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Proven Hope 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Ember 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Liam the Brave 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 English Challenge 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Executive Action 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Cool Rags 30.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Montauk Point 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fixin to Bee 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 El Joury 12.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Calmate 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Golden Sunshine 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Good Temper 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 What If 30.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Jalila 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Top Gun Rocket 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Colorado Cruiser 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Ask Arthur 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Teen Idol 15.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Oneofthegoodguys 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Diomedes 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Xavi 30.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Blue Angel 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Liam’s Journey 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Illini 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 How’s Ur Attitude 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Two Eagles River 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Honky Tonk Highway 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Lugan Knight 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Gilcrease 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Cat On Time 2.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pipsy (IRE) 4.50 1 2-1
15 15 Run for the Hills 10.00 2 4-1
11 11 Bling 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Bandonarun 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Cloudwalker 6.00 3.6 7-1
13 13 Moonlit Lady 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Dancing Duchess 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 B G Warrior 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Julias Dream 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Be My Sunshine 5.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Girl of My Dreams 15.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Simply Stated 30.00 10.1 19-1
9 9 Oeuvre 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Jill Jitterbug 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Miss Arlington 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Skinner 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Just a Touch 1.20 2.4 5-1
6 6 Stretch Ride 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Parchment Party 20.00 5 10-1
8 8 Gould’s Gold 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Glen Airy 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Spencer’s Boy Luna 30.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Passing Game 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Moonlight 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Native Land 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Visitlex Elkhorn S.) – Visitlex Elkhorn S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Grand Sonata 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rebel Red (GB) 8.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Missed the Cut 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Limited Liability 1.60 2.3 4-1
4 4 Verstappen 15.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Anglophile 15.00 3.3 6-1
12 12 Balnikhov (IRE) 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Utah Beach 20.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Idratherbeblessed 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Ole Crazy Bone 30.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Starting Over 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Dean Martini 30.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Native Shaman 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Ben Ali S.) – Ben Ali S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 San Siro 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Uno Mas Bourbon 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Duke of Love 2.50 5.4 10-1
2 2 Prince of Power 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Piroli 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Time for Trouble 4.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Tennessee Lamb 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Warrior Richard 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rothschild 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Rocky Joy 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Royal Spirit 30.00 3 6-1
5 5 Thomas Aquinas 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Then 3.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Askari 10.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Beach Gold 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Accident 30.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Ciro di Marzio 4.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 English Chunnel 6.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Good Bali 30.00 8.3 16-1
14 14 Nantasket Beach 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Omni King 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Noahs Ark 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Reynolds Channel 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.