Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bella Vittoria |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rose Rita |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Always Practical |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Delicate |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Bossy Lady |
3.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lylah Renee |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Digital Sale |
2.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Homer’s Odyssey |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dixie Devil |
15.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Night Agent |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Crudo |
0.80 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
C Mac Da Boss |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
You Belong Here |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Boitano |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Copperlite |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Proven Hope |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ember |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Liam the Brave |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
English Challenge |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Executive Action |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cool Rags |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Montauk Point |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Fixin to Bee |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
El Joury |
12.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Calmate |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golden Sunshine |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Good Temper |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
What If |
30.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jalila |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Top Gun Rocket |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Colorado Cruiser |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ask Arthur |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Teen Idol |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Oneofthegoodguys |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Diomedes |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Xavi |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blue Angel |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Liam’s Journey |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Illini |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
How’s Ur Attitude |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Two Eagles River |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Honky Tonk Highway |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Lugan Knight |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gilcrease |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cat On Time |
2.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Pipsy (IRE) |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
15 |
15 |
Run for the Hills |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bling |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bandonarun |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cloudwalker |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
13 |
13 |
Moonlit Lady |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dancing Duchess |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
B G Warrior |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Julias Dream |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Be My Sunshine |
5.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Girl of My Dreams |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Simply Stated |
30.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
9 |
9 |
Oeuvre |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Jill Jitterbug |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Miss Arlington |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Skinner |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Just a Touch |
1.20 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stretch Ride |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Parchment Party |
20.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gould’s Gold |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Glen Airy |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spencer’s Boy Luna |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Passing Game |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Moonlight |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Native Land |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Visitlex Elkhorn S.) – Visitlex Elkhorn S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Grand Sonata |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rebel Red (GB) |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Missed the Cut |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Limited Liability |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Verstappen |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Anglophile |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Balnikhov (IRE) |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Utah Beach |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Idratherbeblessed |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ole Crazy Bone |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Starting Over |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dean Martini |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Native Shaman |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Ben Ali S.) – Ben Ali S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
San Siro |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Uno Mas Bourbon |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Duke of Love |
2.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Prince of Power |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Piroli |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Time for Trouble |
4.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tennessee Lamb |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Warrior Richard |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rothschild |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rocky Joy |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal Spirit |
30.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thomas Aquinas |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Then |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Askari |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Beach Gold |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Accident |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Ciro di Marzio |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
English Chunnel |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Good Bali |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
14 |
14 |
Nantasket Beach |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Omni King |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Noahs Ark |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Reynolds Channel |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.