Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The White Lady (FR) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Ellie | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Certitude (FR) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soho | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corposo | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Defiance | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sav’s Thirsty Star | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Darlin Tami | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Practical | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ride Elbow Ranch | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greta’s Ghost | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brandon’s Girl | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timekeeper’s Charm | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kapalua Ride | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hothead | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Run for Kidder | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Binging | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dynodave | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hornsby | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Willis | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled Vision | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devil Be Me | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Havoc | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Storm | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disobey | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mici’s Express | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runkerry | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Carver | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bob’s Blue Moon | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jerry’s Spirit | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | King Apollo | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nero Tulip (GB) | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doncic | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Royalty | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whatmakessammyrun | 2.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commander (FR) | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Flew South | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Don’s Smiling | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Rascal | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clements Ride | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Momo’s Kiddo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Abadon | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Donttestyourluck | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Bucket List | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golf Drama | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Nicanor | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | North Country | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Trinidad | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Dusan | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smiling Tony | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Six Hot Grands | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (American S.) – American S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King of Gosford (GB) | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cabo Spirit | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phosphorescence (FR) | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zio Jo | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Endlessly | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Il Bellator | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | St Anthony | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thirsty Trickster | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rythem Girl | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Memosis | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maniae | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lubitza | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saint Shelia | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jersey Sunset | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiny Prancer | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Selsae | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nafisa | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitty Marren | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cailin Dana | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Church Lady (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cat The Confidante (IRE) | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Innovative | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time to Shine | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sunset Beauty | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Miss Behaving | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Tempt Her | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Neema | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blissterinthesun | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Miche Lada | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Recycleyourheart | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wishful Winker | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parade Down Broad | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bottom Dollar | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Nea | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angi’s Tipsy | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Rider | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Onward and Upward | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Smile | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.