Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, April 23, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Light the Way 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 J D Factor 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Silo Ridge 1.60 1.7 3-1
1 1 Vinsanity 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Muazarah 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Land d’Oro 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 My Last Mission 3.00 1.5 3-1
2B 7 Dr. Kraft 1.40 3.4 6-1
3 2 Kolomio 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 3 Jackson Heights 1.40 SCRATCH
4 4 Baron of Sealand 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 5 Hagrid’s Flame 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 On the Ledge 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mackville 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Wajda 1.80 3.9 7-1
5 5 Accidental Bid 3.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 One Vision 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Western Wolf 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vehemente 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 She’s Complicated 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Blue Eyed Scout 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Brooklyn Rhapsody 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Cdakhat (IRE) 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Taliesin 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Kahala 1.20 1 2-1
3 2 He’s Got This 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 1 Persistent Danger 3.50 2.9 5-1
7 8 Majestic Tiger 15.00 2.9 6-1
6 7 Dads Good Runner 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 6 Gun Maestro 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Screaming Uncle 30.00 4.6 9-1
1 3 Empty Tomb 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Siyouni Flash (FR) 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Midway Memories 1.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sailaway 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 8 Classic Cara 10.00 7.4 14-1
6 7 Pay the Bills (FR) 20.00 7.7 14-1
3 4 Magnum’s Microbrst 15.00 7.7 15-1
1A 3 Big Magic (IRE) 5.00 8.3 16-1
5 6 Scarlett’s Halo 8.00 9 17-1
8 9 Katerina Ristova 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 What’s Up Bro 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Contrary Thinking 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Laser Sharp 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Daufuskie Island 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 War Stride 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Antonio of Venice 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ragazzo d’Oro 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Makeyourmoment 3.50 1.3 2-1
11 11 Fresh Start 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Cada Dia Mejor 20.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Romeo Void 6.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Doomed 4.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Dancinginthepark 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Dead Aim 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Yo Bro 10.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Solomini’s Legacy 20.00 9.7 18-1
8 8 Pistol Hip Sam 10.00 10.8 20-1
6 6 Danziger 20.00 11 21-1
13 13 Purest Performance 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Intellectual 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Perfect Shephard 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Free Dance 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.