Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 24, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Ada May 2.00 1 2-1
3 2 Light Thoughts 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 3 Carol Said No 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 6 Just Words 6.00 3.2 6-1
1A 4 Yayi Nikolle 2.50 4.5 8-1
2 1 Power Driver 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 7 Awesome Roberta 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dialbolico 0.60 1 2-1
2 2 Braca 15.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Daw Samaa 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Change Your Name 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Henry’s Hope 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Hey Cat 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dream On Cara 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 She’s Wicked Smart 1.80 1.3 2-1
4 4 Alley’s Song 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Eastern Star 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Danneel 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 To Be Loved by You 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kara Para 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Whistler’s Style 1.80 1.5 3-1
5 5 La Grotte 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Karen’s Honor 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Dolce Sera 4.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Troubled Luck 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Omaha Pistol 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Allofasuddenlee 3.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Capt Jax Parrow 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Consider It Done 4.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Stormy’s Dreaming 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Stimuli 15.00 4 7-1
6 6 Skippy Town 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Solo Mio 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Unlimitedpotential 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Skylander 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Quick Hammer 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Burninhunkoflove 4.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 For Some Reason 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Uncle George 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Sinead 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Turriga 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Peony 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Miss American Pie 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 She’s Our Tiz 3.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Intentious 20.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Aunt Yola 8.00 7 13-1
12 12 Slightly Busy 12.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Kaaterskill 10.00 9.5 18-1
4 4 Miss Bourbon 12.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Mulkey 20.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Honorable Becky 20.00 11.9 22-1
13 13 Quick Power Nap 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Splashy 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Lady Arwen 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Boston’s Phinest 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gallant Greta 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Practical Romance 3.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 Loveumissumeanit 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Heavenly Girl 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 On a Summer Day 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 One More Dance 8.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Argentiera 30.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Twirly 10.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Tizn’t Anymore 20.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 High End 8.00 10.2 19-1
6 6 Castledell 12.00 12.3 23-1
5 5 Blue for You 20.00 12.8 24-1
15 15 Lady Looie 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Will of a Womanne 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Dear Moon 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Widdershins 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.