Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 24, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fascinator 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Redo 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Protocol 1.60 3 6-1
4 4 True Class 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Vino Bella 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mighty Risky 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Take Charge Omaha 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Barstool 10.00 1 2-1
15 15 Daphne Blue 3.00 1.1 2-1
14 14 Baytown Dreamer 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Red Lad 30.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tiempos Buenos 50.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Coach Rudy 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Flaming Star 50.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Longshoreman 1.60 5 9-1
6 6 Risk 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Tough Critic 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Still Sober 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Abdicate 30.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 Senor Valentine 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Twirling Ridge 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Sweet Espresso 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Raffinato (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Best Seller 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Windy Walk 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Lady Emily Kathryn 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Classic Performer 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Klimt’s Muse 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Pens Street 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Bijou Baby 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bernin Tune 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 My Friend Louie 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Jr’s Gift 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Give Me Liberty 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 River Ridge 4.50 3.4 6-1
11 11 High Enough 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Ode to Balius 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Geraldraydaplegray 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Prichard 20.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 B Wayne 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 War Dept Calling 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Boy Tony 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Greystone 20.00 2 4-1
8 8 British Isles 1.80 2.6 5-1
9 9 The Dover Specter 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Mount Rundle 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Oscargot 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Steadfast Resolve 3.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Hamilton’s Way 8.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Dairago (FR) 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Fort Thomas 12.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Assiduously (GB) 20.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Call Me Cassius 50.00 13.1 25-1
16 16 Midnight Channel 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hard Mission 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Game Point 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gucci Man 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Velvet Devil 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Magical Day 3.50 1.5 3-1
10 10 Tickin Time Blonde 15.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Spun Candy 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Big Air 15.00 4 8-1
3 3 Scarce 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Wildfire Princess 12.00 10.3 19-1
4 4 Me and Molly McGee 6.00 10.5 20-1
12 12 Cyawouldntwanabeya 4.50 11 21-1
6 6 Princess Proud 15.00 11 21-1
7 7 Whiskey Serenade 30.00 11.9 23-1
11 11 Lindy Can 20.00 12.3 23-1
14 14 Girl’s Not Grey 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dashin’ Diva 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Grey Matter 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Evade (FR) 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Herchee 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Depiction 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Realignment 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Oscar Season 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 El Rezeen 4.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Royal Majesty (GB) 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Heavy Pour 20.00 6.1 12-1
13 13 Royal Sandrin 20.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Hold My Bourbon 15.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Intellect (FR) 3.50 8.6 16-1
10 10 Ocean Pointe 20.00 9.6 18-1
14 14 Saint in the City 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lips Say Bliss 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Army Officer 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Azoi 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ancient World 1.20 1 2-1
8 8 Mischief River 12.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Sexagenarian 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Walking in Memphis 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 C K Wonder 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 U Devil You 4.50 5.6 10-1
4 4 El Cordobes 30.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Mister Rosso 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Princess Attitude 6.00 1 2-1
12 12 Take Note of This 10.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Celebrity Ro 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 This Country 12.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Kimber Spice 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Halstyn Rose 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Spying 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Many Mo Kisses 30.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Scarletta Carpetta 5.00 11.6 22-1
9 9 Lady Lilylou 8.00 11.8 22-1
8 8 Radiance 15.00 12.5 24-1
1 1 Viley Lane 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Crawford 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Volatile Jinny 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Nosleeptilbrooklyn 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Kentucky Flame 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.