Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Big Country Boy |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sandini |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Noble Reign |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Texas Cyclone |
1.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
More Money Mo |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Guadalajara |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cavanal |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tarps Storm |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Safford |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Southfork |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Red River |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Feathers Road |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
I’m No Joke |
1.60 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blow Torch |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
You Vee Cee |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Verb |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Khozy My Boy |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Raven’s Nest |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Palace Kitten |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vulcan |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Tee Burns |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Just Classic |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Kavanaugh |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Can’t Stop Willis |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bayou Blitz |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Iron Dome |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grand Oracle |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stoke the Fire |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiz My Hero |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
String Theory |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Fantasy |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
A P Ruly |
2.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Debater |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Holus Bolus |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Task |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rerun |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Partyinthestreets |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Spoonman |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Statler |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Juilliard |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Go West |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Worth Looking |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Drifter |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hello Hot Rod |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hightail Cowboy |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
W W Crazy |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moon Over Egbert |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cooler King |
50.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mid Day Image |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Cane Creek Road |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Go the Distance |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Talklessworkmore |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wartime Hero |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
J T’s Imagination |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Frost Alert |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ice Again |
4.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jim Ned |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Colosi |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quick Buck |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Last Diamond |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
14 |
14 |
Home Run Trick |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Right Tone |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Lil Bro Coop |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Fire Bryan |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Mighty Message |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Sthenic |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Street Painter |
12.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Very Cosmopolitan |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cashmere Baby |
10.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Millie’s Stardust |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Aloha Baby |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Aurora Gee |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sending |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Principal Anita |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fine by Design |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nice Move |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shesacinch |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
13 |
13 |
Adamantly |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Sassy Lass |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Magic Tap |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Frosted Departure |
5.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Relampago Verde |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Creative Minister |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Winnemac Avenue |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tonka Warrior |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ethical Judgement |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Get Her Number |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Pats Property |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Glider |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Santos Dumont |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
American Law |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Auto Glide |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hayes Strike |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Outlier |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Interlock Empire |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Macron |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Empire Builder |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Bernin Hot |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.