Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tavria | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Day Dawning | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne On Ice | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fasta Lavista Baby | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ceebee | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greenwich Pike | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ash Wednesday | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Storm Cloud Rising | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Munchkin | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cinnamon Sugar | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Espresso | 50.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Estrella Silver | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grant’s Gretchen | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Impress | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Diva Calling | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mother of Pearl | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Juno Palace | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Super Pachi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ganymede | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Little Sam’s | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dragon Navy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | I Think I Can (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nanina (GER) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vicki Rose | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toxic Love | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ragtime Sizzle | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scythia | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Tulip Gal | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard to Get | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Splendid | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Beach Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Higher Standard | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncashed | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forgiving Spirit | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Junior Bug | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Billy the Greek | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hometown Hero | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Partyvicious | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Molto Vivace | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Buttercream Babe | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Fox Givin | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Rebecca | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Tempest | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deep Satin | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pharoah’s Wine | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Federalism | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kin’s Concerto | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | For Love and Honor | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Miwa (GB) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dozen Diamonds | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Partir (FR) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Gloriannia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ghostly Gal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sandra D | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Central Avenue | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sam’s Treasure | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zadorsky | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Come as You Are | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No What Ifs | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Silver | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiarella | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rye Smile | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Grace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | White Whale | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arthur Jr | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Il Cavallino | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Game Runner | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lifes Reward | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Will to Prepare | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dontworryboutnothn | 4.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midnite in Finley | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cruise the Nile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Liam’s Lagoon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Campaign Trail | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bewitch S. Presented By Keeneland Sales) – Bewitch S. Presented By Keeneland Sales
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eternal Silence | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever After All | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Immensitude (FR) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sabalenka | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sand and Sea | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Youknownothing | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dazzlin’ Dictator | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strikingly Spun | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Just Basking | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unmatched Wisdom | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Powder | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dubyuhnell | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will Take It | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Resolve | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hurry Hurry | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rambo Approved (URU) | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Go Emi | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Couth | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tickled Quist | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sardis | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Freedom | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | American Only | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Finn McSorley | 30.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Two Toddies In | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Colossal | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tempus Volat | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sumood | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ambitiously | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Passage | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Operation Sunrise | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Sully | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Demetrius | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vivaldi | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Its Bourbon Thirty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.