Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Arctic Outbreak |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Homer Jones |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gatto Be Proud |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mission Artemis |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dats Mr. Tap |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dominguez |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rector |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grey Flannel Boss |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Daddy Yankee |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Better Watch It |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
15 |
15 |
Primed to Go |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Key Stat |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Birravino Blvd |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Whizbang |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Crabcakes N Beer |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Bjorn |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Butter Bee Quick |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Luminous Secret |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nancy Mary |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Krissi N |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tres Aries |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lazy Days |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sassafrassness |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Souper Upgrade |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ithinkiloveyou |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Granuaile |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yo Adrian |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Daring Delight |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
14 |
14 |
Champagne Mischief |
12.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Circling |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kissed At Dawn |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Drifting |
20.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
3 |
3 |
Contra |
15.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
11 |
11 |
Octet |
12.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
13 |
13 |
Anita Beer |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Grosse Ile |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Mo Hype |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Somnium |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Chesapeake Dream |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tojo’s Mojo |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Yara’s Quest |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiny Lake |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lifting |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Anlon |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Punch It Margaret |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
In This Moment |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Por Voce |
5.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mizoula (IRE) |
3.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chattolanee Spring |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mopo |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pharoah’s Marc |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wikolia Lady |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sutton Suzie |
8.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lady Lena |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Conch Fried Rice |
6.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mendee |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Song Time |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Arise My Love |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Panama Canal |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Loving Gaze (IRE) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
6 |
Run for Your Life |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Motskari |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
7 |
The Heights |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Ascribe |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
9 |
The Gatekeeper |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
12 |
Earl of Dassel |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
11 |
Get Like Mike |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Third Watch |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
10 |
Formal Affair |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
8 |
Admit Nothing |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
5 |
Papa Funny |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Super Needy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Splendor Beauty |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tom Hagen |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Minister for Magic |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr Matuschek |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
King’s River |
12.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Master of None |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Rollercoaster Man |
15.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Quincannon |
12.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kendama |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
B Determined |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Joe Phillips |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Bill of Rights |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Bonded |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Cassius |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Frosty the Giant |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Petit Fils (FR) |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Suremeanttoobe |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Falcon Blue |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zio Lino |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
12 |
12 |
Creed’s Vision |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bernie the Star |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Blo By’em |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Regency Tale |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dad Joke |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Winning Trip |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Preacha Meyers |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Foil |
8.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mike’s Magic |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Heard On Thestreet |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Prado Road |
1.20 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Optical Bijou |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Swifty Devil |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Without Pretence |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Three Captains |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Tall Order |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
War Humor |
15.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Laddie Dance |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Incinerator |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fadethenoise |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Katie’s Notion |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Toolpusher |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wow Whata Party |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rio Chama |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Benny Havens |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sambalover |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Beach Cowboy |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gerrys Gem |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Always Gambling |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Mamba |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mister Agent |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pudge Boy Palace |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Captain Cardo |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.