Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 27, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 O P Firecracker 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Khafre 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Commandperformance 5.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Retail Man 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Lord Captain 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Centavo 4.00 4 8-1
7 7 Allaboutthemoney 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Army Gal 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Fortuna Mia 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Nilo’s Rose 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Briland 1.40 4.2 8-1
3 3 Twirling Beauty 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Allenhurst 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Waralo 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 On the Hill 6.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Stewie 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Runandscore 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Schlomo 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Thank You Jon 15.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Messi the Magician 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Smooth Breeze 2.50 1 2-1
4 3 Courtly Banker 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Royal Browne 5.00 3 6-1
9 10 Pay the Juice 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Willintoriskitall 10.00 4 8-1
3 2 The Paddock Pastor 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 New York Panther 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 9 Wait for Me 8.00 6.5 12-1
1A 8 Solo Empire 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 6 I’m Solo N in Love 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Julita 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Perugia 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Sunshine Lily 12.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Broken Zipper 30.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Inamorata 10.00 6.7 13-1
15 15 Lollipops 3.50 7.2 14-1
5 5 Mega Changer 15.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Bodegas 12.00 10 19-1
3 3 Purest Performance 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Miss Uproar 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Je T’adore 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Floy Joy 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mommy’s Turn 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Wild Mischief 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lady Delilah 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kay Cup 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Munnings Express 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Dear Moon 3.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Top Spin Ace 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Garden of Grace 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lady Looie 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Aperitif 20.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Miss Tiramisu 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cornucopian 0.60 1 2-1
3 3 Garamond 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 My Mitole 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Sand Devil 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ican 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 National Law 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Keewaydin 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Toga d’Oro 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Memories Of Silver S.) – Memories Of Silver S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Laurelin (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Candy Quest 6.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Virgin Colada 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Opulent Restraint (IRE) 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Italian Soiree 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Icona Mama 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Burner Account 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Shesinamood 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bernieandtherose 1.60 SCRATCH
7 7 Love Cervere 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Leon Blue 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Motel Patel 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Roofer 10.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Stormy Birthday 15.00 5.8 11-1
14 14 Arch’s Assault 15.00 6.2 12-1
13 13 Toga Dan 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Disco Dervish 30.00 8.8 17-1
16 16 Kings and Queens 8.00 10.1 19-1
7 7 No Problem 8.00 10.6 20-1
5 5 Eighty Gold 20.00 11 21-1
6 6 Nothingbutnitro 30.00 11.2 21-1
12 12 Blue Pill 30.00 11.6 22-1
11 11 Cousin Ed 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Rhyton 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Mozambique 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Tango Tango 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.