Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chipotle Pepper | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Shadows | 10.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Mother Mary | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Floating | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | End of Innocence | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Legally Lucky | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peppers Girlfriend | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | A La Carte | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Gain | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hayahlookatme | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | To too Twentytwo | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Statler | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Natorade | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clear Echo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cravensworth | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rev Too | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rewire | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sir Exton | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Days Later | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Higginsville | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bettera | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rivetage | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moneyshot | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Melody | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mid Day Image | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cane Creek Road | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | The Queens Jules | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Luv to Win | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Super Brady | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vulcan | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Derby Date | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macho Ronnie | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K C Rocket | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tee Burns | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sicilian Grandma | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Delphia | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blaze On | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Gundin | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marina’s Gold | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Town Sis | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Class Code | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saranac Lake | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Shot | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Standoutsensation | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Songmaker | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kerry’s Kiss | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Belle Cherie | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catching Heat | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Georgia On E’smind | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Woopig | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Call Sadie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Makenna | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maxie Lady | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Love Restrained | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lottery Ticket | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Myspittinimage | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mazarn | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Line Runner | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cur Non | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unoitdon’tcomeeasy | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Y City | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reach’nforrainbows | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | World Fair | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tartarian | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Major Mack | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jester Sang | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Litigator | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenlyconveyance | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Solevo | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | McMusic | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Big Un | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trojan Pride | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Deacon | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joewilly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Natural State Breeders’ S.) – Natural State Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Lassie My Girl | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Punchy Girl | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kantex | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caliente Star | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Appealing Addie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Strategy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arr Piratetreasure | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Courtney Fay | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bennykayandsuzytoo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Dreamer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lord Hennessy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tizmarkus | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kensington Cove | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Butch | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giant Moon | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ferris Star | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden City Street | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bigwrigdude | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oink | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taken On the Run | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red River | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.