Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Story Hour | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marmalade Skye | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | These Apples | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready for Trouble | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Always Angels | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Progeny | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sandra D | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Baffle | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy C W | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Givemethebeat | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wakuda | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Valiant War Girl | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Beretta | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stardialed | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Woodall Pass | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Keen | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Little Sam’s | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | She Reigns | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kaboom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Celestial Harmony | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Moonlight Beauty | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Paved in Gold | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winning Song | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Old Trace | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Straightaway | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Friendly Charlie | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Street Boy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One Mor Story | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Moe Mow | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Turnbuckle | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shefflin | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Urban Legend | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Let It Ride | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gilded Ruler | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clear the Air | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Edge to Edge | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Test Factor | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Beat Brian | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dhabab (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B D Valeski | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eye Witness | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Foxtrotanna | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Ambivalent | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | All Jokes Aside | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Alder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Five o’ Somewhere | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Committee of One | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Prankster | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Focusyn | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Another Monarch | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Illini | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Penrod | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Mo | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackson’s Roar | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Farley Hall | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bottoms Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tiger’s Legacy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Norwich | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Badgeball | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shipman | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Manabi | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Explosively | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Pistolero | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gift Certificate | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vertrauen | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classic Q | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New Rome | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Expatriate | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hay Stack | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yes Indeed | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hope Mission | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Miami (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Take Shape | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream On Stormy | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Cause | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Likely Perspective (IRE) | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Isaac Murphy Marathon S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – Isaac Murphy Marathon S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speed Bias | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lambeth | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Game Warden | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Le Gris | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honor Marie | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Timeout | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior Johny | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baba Voss | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (William Walker S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – William Walker S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Governor Sam | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out On Bail | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Warheart | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jet Sweep Joe | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bridle a Butterfly | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coming in Hot | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Makeit to Cheyenne | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Altobelli | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Normandy Coast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Force | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Big Vince | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hasten | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bright Lights Joe | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cajun Cruiser | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Activity | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Breeze | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zohere | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beezer | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Woodford | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cause Ima Boss | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good News Rocket | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Chado | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.