Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 1, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cupid’s Heart 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Caldwell Luvs Gold 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Khali Magic 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Bailintin 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Golden Degree 4.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Tipple 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miss Lao 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Book of Wisdom 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Dashing Della 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Harlan’s Bond 3.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Looks First 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Lady Sriracha 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Despo’s Dream 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Goldfire 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Sunday Gilt 5.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Iron Man Ira 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Whitby 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Golden Purchase 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bernie Goes Boom 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Albedo 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Brown Don’t Stop 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Union Express 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spring Magic 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Irish Jackson 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 My First Love 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Gone and Forgotten 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Lika Rolling Stone 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Play Good Pay Good 5.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Spiritual Lady 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 R Funny Bizness 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Jackie the Joker 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Golden Symphony 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Dark Devil 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Sounds Like Fun 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Total Sensation 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Nantz 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Monomoys Partner 20.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Laird of Magnolia 20.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Sol the Frank 30.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Honor the Bull 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Frances Stanley 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Linarite 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Scarborough Fair 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Marian Cross (GB) 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 3 Quick Power Nap 4.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Spirit of Esther 8.00 4.7 9-1
1A 10 Moonlit Weekend 4.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Honorable Becky 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 2 Mysaria 30.00 6.7 13-1
1X 12 Catchphrase 4.50 SCRATCH
10 11 First Class Cat 2.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Duboff 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Scottish Lassie 1.60 1 2-1
7 7 Lottie Margaret 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Cassiar 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Ruth 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Dry Powder 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Broadway Lights 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Vanilla Sundae 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bottle Rocket (FR) 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pallotta Sisters 6.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Big Beautiful (IRE) 1.40 1.9 4-1
10 10 Lakeside Getaway 4.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Determind Princess 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bobby Jean 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Saucy Six 30.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Lookin to Rock 50.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Alley’s Song 30.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Judgement Time 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Beira 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Diriyah 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.