Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Marmo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Leap | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sperry Chalet | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tempting Lady | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Can I Get Awitness | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warm Days | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steppin Tothe Beat | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sr. Mary Margaret | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Image of Me | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blinging It Back | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turin | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mercilesanihilator | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baytown Anubis | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Distorted Song | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Gabe | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moonlight Beauty | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Simone | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mans Grace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mr American Pie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Two Eagles River | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scat Free | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tagliatelle | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Rey | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Best | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Refuah | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Underhill’s Tab | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Top Gun Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Numero Seis | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Niki Nine Doors | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ready to Jam | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cart Girl Sam | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rue Lala | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Out too Late (GB) | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hurry Up Hannah | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Fashion Kate | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paynt Ya Later | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | May May Strong | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hideki | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Bustin Bullet | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ervadean | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Girls Weekend | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Best Cupcake | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bolt At Midnight | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin’s Gesture | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gamblers Tail | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Googol Joke | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shortstop | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Bruiser | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tango Mike Mike | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riddle Solver | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lured Away | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Kentucky Juvenile S.) – Kentucky Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pinky Finger | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happyhappyboy | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monster | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Talker | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maximus Prime | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daring Move | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diblasi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Barstool | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rotterdam | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Oh Really | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Presider | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mega Magic | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Multitask | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Domingo | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Transcendental | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Masayoshi | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Publicity | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warhol | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Game Point | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brown Liquor Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Simovic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Footprint | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mugatu | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Thrilla | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classic Legacy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ludwig | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hailstorm | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Wells | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vitement | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bebedouro | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polster | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kigali | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | El Dandi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | World Record | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Track Phantom | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nash | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arro Smash | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caramel Chip | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petcoff | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nautical Star | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Opening Verse S.) – Opening Verse S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Major Dude | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Portofino | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lagynos | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tut’s Revenge | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Money Supply | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brilliant Berti | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Georgie W | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skyro | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Piper’s Factor | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mercante | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (St. Matthews Overnight S.) – St. Matthews Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Speed Boat Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Valentine Candy | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Bragg | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happy Is a Choice | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Flag | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Champlin | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bango | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miles Ahead | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Happy American | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Henro | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Stellify | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Gal | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Massarat | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fleetingly | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Suite | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strive for Honor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hello Beauty | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bee Cat | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Achieve | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Flame | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Front | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Moringa | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Something Stronger | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hideaway | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Turmalina | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Vice | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.