Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Drama |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Willow Case |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dare Greatly |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
A Rose for Skyler |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ripple |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Instapurchase |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ruth the Moabitess |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Deborahaprophetess |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Toku |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
It’s Just a Game |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Trumpetta |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Done Dirt Cheap |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Gray Lark |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mitoleta |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mi Mitole Girl |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Itsachardonneigh |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Perchance to Dream |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mama Maritza N |
30.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tapit’s Shady Lady |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Blue Spearman |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Otto |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ekati King |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lace Up |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Federal Exchange |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Papa Katz |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fattoush |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Prince David |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Max N Fifo |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Paez |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Herecomesdapeach |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Show Boat |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Georgeisimportant |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lao Way |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Wannabeeloved |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fregon |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
For the Chief |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
To Monarch |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nostalgia’s Smile |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dixie Preach |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Giuro |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bandoola |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Replevin |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
National Secret |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mackor |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
El Guty |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Old Son |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fire Lee |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Frosted Punk |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Hurricane Nelson |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Back Em Up |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Centrodelantero |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Con Compania (CHI) |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Great Lilo |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Quereme Pass (ARG) |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tshiebwe |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gatsby |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Souper Quest |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Xy Speed |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Axthelm |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Reef Runner |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Johnny Podres |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bring Theband Home |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Extendo |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Biz Biz Buzz |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Striver |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Veronika Z |
3.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Luna Louska |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lisca Bianca |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Regalton (GB) |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Emissary |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Starship Bella |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Brisa Veloz |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.