Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 1, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Drama 0.80 1 2-1
7 7 Willow Case 10.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Dare Greatly 3.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 A Rose for Skyler 20.00 4 8-1
5 5 Ripple 3.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Instapurchase 30.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Ruth the Moabitess 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Deborahaprophetess 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Toku 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 It’s Just a Game 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Trumpetta 4.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Done Dirt Cheap 20.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Gray Lark 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mitoleta 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Mi Mitole Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Itsachardonneigh 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Perchance to Dream 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Mama Maritza N 30.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Tapit’s Shady Lady 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blue Spearman 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Otto 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Ekati King 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Lace Up 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Federal Exchange 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Papa Katz 30.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Fattoush 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Prince David 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Max N Fifo 3.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Paez 1.80 1.6 3-1
7 7 Herecomesdapeach 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Show Boat 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Georgeisimportant 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Lao Way 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wannabeeloved 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Fregon 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 For the Chief 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 To Monarch 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Nostalgia’s Smile 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Dixie Preach 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Giuro 30.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Bandoola 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Replevin 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 National Secret 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Mackor 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 El Guty 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Lucky Old Son 4.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Fire Lee 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Frosted Punk 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hurricane Nelson 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Back Em Up 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Centrodelantero 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Con Compania (CHI) 2.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Great Lilo 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Quereme Pass (ARG) 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Tshiebwe 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Gatsby 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Souper Quest 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Xy Speed 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Axthelm 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Reef Runner 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Johnny Podres 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Bring Theband Home 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Extendo 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Biz Biz Buzz 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Striver 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Veronika Z 3.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Luna Louska 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Lisca Bianca 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Regalton (GB) 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Emissary 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Starship Bella 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Brisa Veloz 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.