Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fairfield Bay | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Asleep At Eight | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joewilly | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real Blues | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Double Burn | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arjun for Karz | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Believe in Dreams | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Megastar | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | E Money | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Work Boots | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Morally Complex | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cashmere Baby | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Painter | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Principal Anita | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunnyandseventy | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Ember | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cosmic Chic | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | L. A. Diamond | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moenchanted | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Appealing Addie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Plinko Chip | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Templar Red | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Super Enticing | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Divine Gal | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Makemebelieve | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Grace Given | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boltoro | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lady Mercedes | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sensible Choice | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Fearless Kristie | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Midway Vow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ride the Broom | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rogue Justice | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Funding Source | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Acousticat | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ez Tree Ates | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Costly | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Minded | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Melly’s Birkin | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heir Tua Throne | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fab Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Breslau | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Favorite Outlaw | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | De Angelo | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous M | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toddchero | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jackman | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cat On Time | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Mark | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Al’s Romeo | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Market Street | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mish | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sinner’s Sin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Midnight Pranks | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Copper Storm | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caper’s Hooley | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Sweep | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Producer | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Airborne Elite | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Devilish Desire | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catalina Crush | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Maverama | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speechless | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | G. Erik | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Handsome Herb | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stellar Vino | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nacho Bar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hap Hot | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Touchdown Arkansas | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Wide Awake | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morello | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sitka | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Trust Daddy | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Heist | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eli’s Promise | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ceepeegee | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miracle Worker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Whatchatalkinabout | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Go West Go | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Majestic Overnight S.) – Majestic Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gray Lightning | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Absinthe | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itzel | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Titled Lady | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gloriette | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Effortlesslyelgant | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mischievous Gal | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dashingly | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pistol | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Popperina | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pharoah’s Heart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Evocation | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sparkly | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Lass | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Commander Dixie | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fly Like the Wind | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stealthespotlight | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Devious Diva | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New Woman | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Hottie | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Sequoia | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | So Thrilling | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Adamantly | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Wampus Kitten | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Chica Arma | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.